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 Under Pressure By "People Power", Has Ex-U.S. Ally, Gen. Museveni Exhausted Bag Of Tricks After 27 Years? Vincent Magombe  July 26,2013 - See more at:  http://www.blackstarnews.com/global-politics/africa/under-pressure-by-people-power-has-ex-us-ally-gen-museveni-exhausted-bag-of#sthash.GgbMy6pW.dpuf

A Daily Star  News Report (Friday, 26 July 2013)                                                                                 

Vincent Magombe  July 26,2013

 

[Global: Africa--Analysis]

There is a new buzz-word echoing on the streets of Kampala, the Ugandan capital and reverberating across the towns and villages of the East African nation.

From the corridors of the Ugandan Parliament, to the various places of work, and even in Universities and colleges, everyone is whispering the words -- People Power. Even in President Yoweri K. Museveni’s State House, security personnel, in particular the Special Forces Command, headed by Museveni’s own son Muhoozi Kaneirugaba, the daily pre-occupation seems to be how to quell what they see as an impending "People Power Revolt".

In Kampala, business is no longer as usual. Apart from the visible heavy deployment of armed police and military troops, the city's residents are getting used to the daily high-speed car chases of opposition leaders by armed state operatives.

There're routine arrests of those viewed as pro-democracy activists including scores this week. An American journalist, Taylor Krauss, was snared this week while filming violent arrest of activists.

Mayor of Kampala, Erias Lukwago, arrested for touring the city: Prominent among those routinely arrested and charged for alleged "intent to cause mass revolt" is Dr. Kizza Besigye, the former leader of the largest opposition party, the Forum for Democratic Change (FDC); he's no stranger to past violent arrests. Ambassador Olara Otunnu, a former United Nations Under-Secretary General, who now heads the Uganda People’s Congress (UPC) party was dragged to court on charges of criminal libel against Gen. Museveni.

Even the Mayor of Kampala, Mr. Elias Lukwago, has not been spared. If he is not being arrested inside the city, as he goes about meeting the residents, he, like many other senior opposition leaders, is kept under house arrest, a "preventative" measure meant to prevent them from getting to the centre of Kampala, where, the regime fears, they might be joined by thousands of their supporters, triggering a North African-style mass revolt.  Recently he was viciously attacked by the government's agents who fired teargas into his vehicle, leading to his hospitalization.

Military joining national uprising: Until recently, it was the political opposition, led by Dr. Besigye and others, plus groups of young pro-democracy activists, who were keeping dictator Museveni sleepless. Mass demonstrations, dubbed "Walk-to-Work Protests", which took place in 2011-2012, were severely put down by the security forces, when they nearly brought down the regime.

But now, a wholly new dimension has materialized. Worryingly for President Museveni, for the first time ever, the scent of revolt has arrived in military barracks. Top generals and commanders are starting to openly discuss the possibility of a national revolt against his regime. Increasingly, the 26 year-old rule of Gen. Museveni is facing a multi-dimensional revolt involving both civilians and members of his own military and security services. This is making the regime appear more and more shaky and vulnerable.

The General Sejusa factor: Into this mix now enters General David Sejusa, who's now a much-sought-after individual. Major international news networks have been falling over each other in a rush to interview this former Museveni right-hand man. In just a month since leaving Uganda, he has been the focus of news reports or interviews on the BBC, Voice of America, The Times of UK, The Washington Post, Reuters and other global networks, as he spat venom at his former boss. Sejusa accuses the Ugandan dictator of plotting to install his son, Brigadier Muhoozi Kaneirugaba as future President.But, even more ominously, Sejusa alleges that Museveni and his Police Commander, General Kale Kayihura, have been planning to assassinate several senior military and state officials who are deemed to be against the so-called "Muhoozi Project". 

Museveni’s son Muhoozi commands the Special Forces Command and the Presidential Guard.

When General David Sejusa, who, until his escape into exile in London was Uganda’s Coordinator of Intelligence Services and Senior Advisor to President Museveni, wrote his explosive letter about the purported assassination plot against senior army and government officials, few Ugandans expected the fall out to be so far-reaching and transformative of the entire anti-Museveni struggle.

Signs of deep crisis at Museveni’s State House first surfaced when reports of a major clamp down in the top army command were published in Uganda’s newspapers. Gen. Museveni moved very quickly to remove senior army officers with links to General Sejusa away from sensitive positions. Among them was General Aronda Nyakairima, who was moved from the post of Chief of Defence Forces (CDF) into the civilian Ministry of Internal Affairs, meaning he would have to resign from the army as the constitution requires.

Gen. Nyakairima and Prime Minister Amama Mbabazi were also reportedly on the hit list of those seen as opposing the "Muhoozi Project".

Other senior Commanders were either sent outside Uganda to work in the country’s embassies, while others were arrested and are now facing what many Ugandans believe are trumped-up charges. A number of those arrested have been commanding the AMISOM (United nations-African Union) contingents in Somalia, where they have been fighting against the Islamist Al-Shabab Movement.

Alleged Attempted Military Coup: And now reports have surfaced about a number of General Sejusa’s associates, who according to the Kampala regime, have to face the military courts on charges of planning to overthrow the Museveni regime through a coup.

General Sejusa has denied planning any military coup, but confirmed that he has now joined the opposition struggle intended to remove President Museveni from power as soon as possible.

The Sejusa-factor is being seen by many in the opposition struggle as a game-changer, as evidence of serious fractures start to appear within the Museveni political and military establishment. On the political side, rebellious ruling NRM party members have been expelled, and a growing number of Museveni supporters, both within the leadership hierarchy and the rank-and-file party membership, have started openly criticizing the leadership style of Gen. Museveni.

In spite of some criticisms from some opposition quarters about the role that Gen. Sejusa is believed to have played in the security clampdown against opposition activists, there is a growing realization that the anti-Museveni campaign is being boosted by the emerging divisions within Museveni’s own camp.

A recent joint declaration by leading opposition leaders pointed to the need to reach out to key military officers and NRM party leaders, with the view to encouraging them to join the on-going struggle for change. It seems that this opposition call for unity of purpose among Ugandans is being welcomed not only by senior Museveni commanders, but also by low-ranking military and security service operatives, who are reported to be deserting their barracks in their hundreds, taking with them their uniforms and ammunition. In an attempt to stop the hemorrhage Gen. Museveni has ordered major security operations in several cities and regions of Uganda, including his own home region of Ankole.

Ugandans are referring to these operations as "Panda Gari", meaning "Get on the truck", on a journey that leads to already overcrowded police and military prisons.

Renewed call for street protests: To exacerbate Gen. Museveni’s fears and problems, a powerful group of pro-democracy activists, called For God and My Country (4GC), whose leaders organized the "Walk-to-Work" Protests, has issued a call for renewed street protests.

These protests are being planned to coincide with country-wide strikes by teachers, taxi drivers, doctors, university lecturers, and other civil servants.

The stated reasons for the strikes are the recently imposed high taxes and failure of the regime to pay salaries. The Kampala government is struggling to find money to pay salaries, after international donors cut off aid in recent months citing entrenched corruption and the routine stealing of donor funds in the Prime Minister’s office and other government departments. Among those affected are police and army functionaries, some of whom have not received their pay from May 2013.

For President Museveni, the growing symbiosis between the workers strikes and the political protests organized by the 4GC Movement, not only provides a major challenge to his security forces, but also threatens to consolidate the hand of his numerous enemies who are determined to overthrow his regime.

Already some analysts, both local and international, are suggesting that Gen. Museveni is quickly losing grip of power, and there are real doubts whether he will survive much longer. The next Presidential elections are scheduled for 2016, and Museveni is believed to be planning to run again on the NRM party ticket.

With increasing numbers of Ugandans opposing his rule, and an even larger number fighting against his purported plan to impose his son Brigadier Muhoozi as future President, it is hard to imagine how he could win those elections.

Non-the-less the coming weeks and months may be crucial, as the pressure for Museveni to step down mounts. The question to be asked is bound to change from "Will Museveni win the 2016 elections?" to "Will Museveni survive the impending people Power Revolt?"

Dr. Vincent Magombe is a London-based Ugandan journalist and broadcaster, and Director of Africa Inform International.
- See more at: http://www.blackstarnews.com/global-politics/africa/under-pressure-by-people-power-has-ex-us-ally-gen-museveni-exhausted-bag-of#sthash.GgbMy6pW.dpuf

---------------------------------------------      23,000 Congolese flee to Uganda after clashes

A Fox News Online Report (Friday, 12 July 2013)

http://www.foxnews.com/world/2013/07/12/23000-congolese-flee-to-uganda-after-clashes/

KAMPALA (AFP) –  At least 23,000 people have fled the town of Kamango in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo after it was briefly occupied by a rebel group, the UN refugee agency said Friday.

Rebels from Uganda's Allied Democratic Forces (ADF) attacked Kamango, in the northernmost part of North Kivu province early Thursday morning, but later left the town.

Some 3,000 people crossed over into Bundibugyo District in western Uganda on Thursday and the remainder overnight or on Friday, a senior police official in Bundibugyo, Denis Namuwooza, told AFP.

"Uganda Red Cross Society had by mid-afternoon (Friday) registered 23,000 arrivals," UNHCR officer Karen Ringuette said.

Ugandan army spokesman Paddy Ankunda said the rebels briefly seized Kamango, close to the Ugandan border and some 80 kilometres (50 miles) from Beni, the main town in that region of DR Congo, on Thursday.

"We have beefed up security along the common border to avoid a spillover of the fighting," Ankunda said, adding that the Congolese army had since pushed the rebels out of Kamango.

However, local media reports said the rebels had pulled out of their own accord.

Watalinga tribal chief Jean Paul Saambili told AFP that rebels were still in Kamango on Friday around noon "terrorising the residents".

Residents also said that public buildings and the hospital had been pillaged but no toll was given of possible casualties.

Ankunda said the rebels took nine people hostage, including a local leader.

According to residents he was killed but members of his family and several humanitarian workers had been released. There was no immediate confirmation for this by other sources.

The ADF was formed in the mid-1990s in the Rwenzori mountains in western Uganda, close to the DR Congo border. Part of the ADF is now based in DR Congo after Ugandan government forces routed them two years ago.

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Africa-Nigeria:

  

   

Mr Aliko Dangote spreads his African tentacles

 

http://www.africareview.com/Special+Reports/-/979182/1296058/-/107vsvfz/-/index.html

 

Nigerian supermagnate Aliko Dangote’s year ended by being crowned Africa’s richest person by the respected Forbes magazine. In November, in its inaugural list of Africa’s 40 richest people, the magazine estimated his wealth at $10.1 billion.

The magazine had earlier in March this year estimated his wealth at $13.8 billion, ranking him the 51st richest person in the world. While the criteria used in a continent where records are hard to come by has been robustly debated, what was not in doubt was that this year has been of expansion unrivalled by any other entrepreneur in the continent.

Dangote is a prominent ruling Peoples Democratic Party benefactor, in part propped up by the fact that he owns the biggest cement firm in Africa, while also straddling the lucrative sugar market in Nigeria, a country of an estimated $150 million people.

His company, Dangote-Cement Plc, listed in 2010, has been his main investment vehicle, managing among others a gas plant and pipeline and a 5.1 million cubic metres capacity dam.

A conglomerate employing an estimated 3,470 people, it is also to be found in such disparate areas as clothing, flour and pasta. Already the largest company on the Nigerian Stock Exchange, this year has been one of a pan-African expansion binge for the 54-year-old's firm.

In August he received the nod from Cameroonian authorities to start a $115m cement plant in Cameroon. The deal signed in September this year would create 1,300 direct jobs and thousands of other indirect ones.

Earlier in July, he was at the ground-breaking ceremony of a $400m cement plant in Zambia’s mineral-rich Copperbelt Province.
The same month he met with Sierra Leone President Ernest Bai Koroma to firm plans for a similar cement plant in the country that will start operations in 2012.
A fertiliser plant in Nigeria—that would be Africa’s largest is already underway. What this adds up to is a very successful—and profitable 2011 for the continent’s richest man, and a solidification of his place at the top of the any new rich list in the region.


Guinea-Bissau:

AU chief meets Jammeh over Bissau coup bid

An Africa Review News report (Fri. 30 Dec. 2011)

http://www.africareview.com/News/AU+chief+meets+Jammeh+over+Bissau/-/979180/1297626/-/w725l8/-/index.html

AU Commission chairman Jean Ping (4th left) speaking with Guinea-Bissau Prime Minister Carlos Gomes Junior (centre) in Bissau. Photo | AFP |

By KEMO CHAM and BABOUCARR CEESAY Posted Friday, December 30  2011

Following his trip to Guinea-Bissau in the wake of Monday’s attempted coup there, African Union chief executive Jean Ping made a highly significant one-day detour to neighbouring Gambia for talks with strongman Yahya Jammeh on the Bissau issue.

The visit by the AU Commission chairman points to a widely held view that President Jammeh not only knows the restive country very well, but that he has had a hand in the long-running politico-military conflict there.

For starters, the Gambian leader has been a close ally of José Americo Bubo Na Tchuto, the head of Guinea-Bissau’s navy who was fingered as the mastermind of the failed coup.

In 2008 Jammeh gave sanctuary to the same Bubo Na Tchuto who was being sought for his alleged involvement in a coup that led to the killing of civilian President Joao Vieira.

Mr Ping said even though the Bissau situation is now relatively under control, the real problem which he defined as army reform remained.

Bubo Na Tchuto and 24 alleged accomplices have been under arrest since the abortive coup.

The navy chief is being detained in Mansoa, 60 kilometres (40 miles) north of the capital Bissau, and the 24 others in four cells at a Bissau air base.

Some observers put the mutiny down to a falling out between army chief Gen Antonio Indjai and Bubo Na Tchuto - who the United States at one point designated as a "drug kingpin."

Meanwhile, Nigeria's President Goodluck Jonathan and Ecowas have condemned the Bissau coup attempt.

 


Uganda: WALK TO WORK CAMPAIGN DAY 4: Live updates

A Daily Monitor News report (Thurs. 21 April 2011)

Police arrest FDC leader Dr Kizza Besigye after he disembarked from his car to continue the walk-to-work demonstration on Thursday. Photo by Isaac Kasamani

Police arrest FDC leader Dr Kizza Besigye after he disembarked from his car to continue the walk-to-work demonstration on Thursday. Photo by Isaac Kasamani 

14:50 EAT: Police have confirmed the death of a two-year-old girl hit by a stray bullet after walk to work demonstrators and security forces clashed this morning in Nyendo, Masaka district. “The child was hit by a stray bullet and died at hospital,” said Noah Sserunjogi, Southern Region police spokesperson. Sserunjogi said the child, who he identified as Julian Nalwanga, was shot after police tried to dispel the angry demonstrators by shooting warning bullets into the air. "We also tried to use a bit of tear gas, but it was in vain," he said.

According to Sserunjogi, the two police officers who were set upon by the crowd are recovering at Masaka hospital. They are currently recieving treatment.

14: 20 EAT: FDC Party president Dr. Kizza Besigye has been transferred to Nakasongola civil prison after being charged with unlawful assembly. Dr. Besigye will next appear in court to answer to this charge on Wednesday April 27. DP President Norbert Mao was transferred earlier to the same prison this morning. Mao's court date is for May 2nd.

13:16 EAT: At least seven people have sustained serious gunshot wounds this morning in Masaka where police opened fired with live rounds to disperse protestors during the walk-to-work camapign. Several others suffered injuries in the clamp-down which also left a 4-year-old dead. The child died after being shot in the head and ribs. Reports also say two policemen were badly beaten and, according to eye witness accounts, may have died from the injuries sustained although police sources are denying that they have lost any personnel. The police say the officers were taken to hospital but could not tell journalists which hospital.

12:10 EAT: Columns of soldiers have filed into Masaka town centre as an uneasy calm returns. The Nyendo area of Masaka where two police officers were attacked and badly beaten – possibly leading to their death – is also returning to an uneasy calm. The morning’s running battles between the police and protestors participating in the walk to work campaign claimed the life of a four-year-old child who was shot in the head and ribs after police opened fire with live rounds into a crowd of civilians. Two adults were injured in this same shooting incident. Other reports say civilians mobbed two police officers and badly beat them up leading to their suspected death, although the area police spokesman, Noah Serunjonjji, disputes the suggestion that his colleagues have been killed.

11:45 EAT: Kampala City centre is reported to under fire as police battle opposition supporters who are protesting the arrest of their leaders, Nobert Mao and Kizza Besigye. Former DP parliamentary candidate Eddie Yawe has been intercepted at Post Office. He had a crowd of supporters moving along Kampala Road reportedly headed to Luzira Maximum Prisons to demand the immediate release of Mao and his co-accused. People are clearing out of town as the protestors carrying placards complaining about the rising food prices engage the police. Teargas is being fired.

11:30 EAT: Dr Besigye has just been produced in a fully packed Nabweru Court. Journalists, members of his Forum for Democratic Change party and security operatives all crowd into the courtroom. Daily Monitor’s John Njoroge says the situation outside the court premises is tense as a growing crowd faces-off with police, army and other security individuals.

10:35 EAT: UPC Party leader Ambassador Olara Otunnu successfully walks to work escorted by Police. Otunnu was met by a police force led by Afande Alphonsi Mutabazi from Jinja road police station just outside Nakawa Main Market at around 9:10am. After a brief argument, Otunnu was allowed to walk to Uganda House where the UPC party headquarters are located. Mutabazi was subsequently congratulated by his boss IGP General Kale Kayihura.

10:25 EAT: Heavy military and police deployment outside Nabweru Court in Bwaise, a Kampala suburb, where Dr Besigye is most likely going to appear. Journalists have been barred from getting anywhere near the court building. A crowd is gathering alongside the roadside as the army patrols in two armoured vehicles and a light infantry vehicle. Daily Monitor journalists on the scene indicate that the court authorities may be waiting for the file from the DPP’s office before they proceed. It is not clear what crime he is going to be charged with.

9:30 EAT: IPC spokesperson and Kyadondo North MP-elect Ibrahim Ssemuju Nganda has been arrested at Kireka as during his walk to work protest

8:50 EAT: The Uganda prisons spokesperson Mr Frank Beine has told Daily Monitor that Democratic Party leader Mr Nobert Mao and his co accused were taken overnight and some on Thursday morning to Nakasongola prison because of the threats of some of their supporters to walk and camp at Luzira prison in protest. “For the security of other prisoners and himself, we took him far from here but we shall produce him later when the time to return court is due,” Mr Beine said.

7:30 EAT: A Daily Monitor journalist reports that Police have arrested FDC leader Dr Kizza Besigye for the third time this month and fired tear gas to disperse hundreds of Besigye’s supporters marching beside him after he disembarked from his car near Kalerwe Market to continue the walk-to-work demonstration.  Dr. Besigye was charged earlier this week with inciting violence in protests over price rises and released on bail.


UK Government urged to support Ugandan pro-democracy campaign: A report on the recent meeting between UK Foreign and Commonwealth Office officials and UK - based Ugandan activists. (Report written by Dr. Vincent Magombe and Opiyo Oryema, on behalf of the Uganda Pro-Democracy Forum, International.)

The Ugandan activists while delivering the letter to Mr Cameron’s office on 10 Downing street.

The Ugandan activists (L-R: Dr. Vincent Magombe, Opiyo Oryema, William Nkata, and Belinda Atim), while delivering the letter to Mr Cameron’s office on 10 Downing street. COURTESY PHOTO

The UK Foreign and Commonwealth Office met again with a group of Ugandan pro-democracy campaigners in London. The meeting, which took place on 24 March 2011, was attended by Mr Lewis Clark, the Desk Officer for Uganda and Tanzania at the FCO, and Miss Elizabeth McKinnell, while the Ugandans included Dr. Vincent Magombe, Ms. Belinda Atim, Mr. Moses Kiwanuka, Ms. Margaret Lakidi, Mr. Opio Oryema, Mr. David Serukera and Mr. William Masembe-Nkata.

The Ugandan activists urged the UK government to support the newly launched pro-democracy campaign in Uganda. The NRM regime under Mr. Yoweri Museveni, they explained, had eroded any traces of competitive politics and, since 1986, ruled Uganda without due regard to internationally accepted standards of democratic practice. Mr Museveni had presided over the stifling and strangulation of Uganda's opposition parties, and effectively denied Ugandan citizens the right to chose political leaders of their choice. He had changed the constitution to effectively create a life-presidency for himself. Even now, Museveni’s NRM party is already plotting another constitutional change that would extend Mr Museveni’s terms of office to seven years.

The Ugandan campaigners outlined the reasons why the majority of Ugandans, including all the main opposition parties, had rejected the results of the February 2011 elections. A non-violent struggle, had now been launched by the Ugandan activists, both at home and in the Diaspora, and this would involve peaceful protests and other forms of civil disobedience. The ultimate objective of the peaceful campaign is to enable the creation of a new democratic dispensation, whereby elections are always free and fair, delivered by an electoral commission that is truly independent and unbiased. In the new dispensation, all Ugandan citizens would be guaranteed their constitutional rights and freedoms, including the freedom of assembly, and that of the media and expression.

In the short term, the aim of the campaign is to make Mr Museveni to stand down, so that a transition government that is representatives of all sections of Ugandan society can be set up, with the central task of facilitating the democratisation process that would lead to the holding of free and fair elections.

At the heart of the peoples' rejection, of what has been dubbed the 'sham' February 2011 elections, is the realisation that Mr Museveni and his NRM party variously rigged the vote. The regime had refused to institute an independent and professionally competent electoral commission, and the majority of Ugandans had been disenfranchised and politically alienated from the political processes.

This fact was confirmed by the thousands of registered voters who could not find their names at the polling stations, and the millions of registered voters, who did not bother to vote, as they believed the elections were already rigged before election-day. In the run-up to the elections, thousands of troops and paramilitary forces were deployed in the towns and villages of Uganda, and this provided a visible source of intimidation to opposition supporters, who, accordingly, chose to stay away from the militarised voting centres. The Museveni regime also launched a psychological and propaganda war, whose aim was to scare Ugandans about a supposed threat of war and instability, in the event that the opposition won the elections.

The lack of a level playing ground and the diversion of public finances to fund the election campaigns of Mr. Museveni and his NRM party are some of the other glaring examples of how the elections were rigged. Opposition leaders were denied equal access to the public media networks, and also to the same pool of financial and state resources from which the NRM party was drawing its own facilitation. The diversion of funds was confirmed through the pronouncements of senior government and NRM functionaries, during and after the elections. One government minister stated that the country had gone broke as a result of excessive spending during the election period.

The Ugandan pro-democracy campaigners were of the view that the diverted money could be part of the British government aid to Uganda. The British government should, accordingly, demand for accountability in regard to the money provided to Uganda by British tax payers. It was suggested that UK developmental support to Uganda be much more closely monitored to ensure that it is the people of Uganda, and not the ruling political elite, who are the actual beneficiaries.

Increasingly, Ugandans were getting more and more worried about the run-away corruption and misuse of public funds under the Museveni regime. There was a general unease about how Uganda’s future oil industry would be managed, given the lack of transparency and the widespread corruption among the country’s ruling elite. The pro-democracy activists at the FCO meeting had earlier on taken part in the handing over of a petition to the UK prime minister’s office at No. 10 Downing Street.. The Petition, which calls for transparency in the oil management and exploitation processes in Uganda, was signed by hundreds of Ugandan civil society and local community representatives, who fear that, just like the country’s aid money, Uganda’s future earnings from oil could be misappropriated or diverted away from the provision of essential public services.

The UK based activists proposed that the UK government should consider consulting and engaging more with non-governmental Ugandan stakeholders – civil society organisations, development NGOs, and even Ugandan Diaspora representatives, so that the latter can be more involved in the monitoring of how UK development aid is channelled and disbursed within Uganda. The British government was urged to deploy various targeted sanctions, including cutting off aid that is given directly to the Museveni regime, in protest against the increasing violations of human rights by the regime and the lack of political will to tackle entrenched corruption.

In recent months, the state security organisations, including the notorious Joint Anti-terrorism Taskforce (JATT) have arrested hundreds of pro democracy activists throughout the country. An ominous tactic is being used by the Museveni regime to silence and cow the nascent pro-democracy struggle. Some activists have been charged with treason, a crime punishable by death in Uganda. Many of them are being accused of belonging to fictitious rebel groups. A good example being Ms Annet Namwanga, a political activist who was kidnapped from her home by JATT operatives, held incommunicado for a period of time, and later accused of attempting to throw explosives at a military facility. 

In order to create an impression of truthfulness about the  accusations labelled at innocent Ugandans, like Annet Namwanga,  the Museveni regime engages in a well orchestrated campaign of disinformation and misinformation, describing how several ‘terrorist and rebel’ groups have been set up across the country by elements sympathetic to the opposition parties. This strategy enables the regime to politically neutralise and eliminate critical political opposition activists and pro-democracy campaigners. The Kampala regime is well known for stage-managing security crises, with the view to scaring and cowing the electorate. These stage-managed antics are also meant to attract international support.

The UK government should demand for the unconditional release of all these victims of political repression. The Ugandan campaigners advised that British ministers should raise these matters directly with the Museveni regime. There should be an enquiry, possibly involving the UN and an independent special commission, into the use of violence and torture by the Kampala regime. [Since the FCO meeting, reports of torture and physical abuse of the detainees have emerged from Kampala. A damning Human Rights Watch report has been released, detailing the continued brutalisation and torture of innocent Ugandans by the state security agencies. The regime has also violently clamped down on peaceful campaigners, who were participating in the ‘Walk to Work’ protest. Hundreds of peaceful protesters have been arrested, tear-gassed, and shot at with live and plastic bullets. One of the victims of the shooting is Dr. Kizza Besigye, the leader of the Forum for Democratic Change party. Other opposition leaders, like Ambassador Olara Otunnu, Norbert Mao, Ken Lukyamuzi, and Erias Lukwago, the newly elected Mayor of Kampala city were also detained on several occasions during the clampdown. The Peaceful protests are set to continue.]

According to the Ugandan activists, what happened in Uganda was not election, but a selection process that could only end in the re-election of Mr. Museveni. The result of this political charade and electoral fracas was an illegitimate regime that was born out of a violated and abused constitutional order. 

The Museveni regime had used all available state security agencies and pro-NRM paramilitary outfits to brutalise and intimidate voters and opposition activists across the country. A good example of the brutalisation of the nation's citizens was in Mbale, Eastern Uganda, where the army and security operatives were ordered to shoot at and beat up voters and opposition activists. A vocal senior opposition leader from the area has accused the army of attempting to assassinate him, when the bullet meant for him instead hit a prominent journalist. Several government ministers were directly involved in the state-sponsored rampage in the area.

The brutality of the state security machinery had also been evident in the mayoral and local elections in Kampala and other parts of Uganda. The extensive rigging and widespread electoral malpractices led to the cancellation or postponement of voting in many areas. Hundreds of opposition activists were beaten, and others were detained just because they were prepared to prevent vote rigging by protecting their ballots.

The UK government was being specifically called upon, by the Ugandan campaigners, to support the new non-violent campaign, by urging the Museveni regime to stop intimidating peaceful demonstrators and using the army and security forces to forcefully deny Ugandans their constitutional right to peacefully protests against the regime.

The UK government should pro-actively support and assist the establishment of democracy-based constitutionality, and good governance practices in general, in Uganda. The Ugandan campaigners emphasised the need for the British and other Western countries to respect the interests and aspirations of the citizens of African countries, and not to blindly support autocratic regimes, like that of Mr. Museveni, on the basis of their own strategic interests. The Museveni regime is known to be a staunch ally of the West in the war against international terrorism.

But, most of all, Western governments should abstain from frustrating the pro-democracy struggles of African people by empowering and sustaining in power the repressive regimes against whom the citizens are struggling. The FCO officials were reminded of the statement by Ambassador Olara Otunnu, one of the Ugandan opposition leaders, who, during a visit to London, used the popular adage - "If you can’t do good, do no harm," meaning that if the international community were not in position to practically assist Ugandan people in their struggle for democracy, then the best they could do is not to sabotage or obstruct the people's effort.

The Ugandan activists warned of possible violence, if the Museveni regime continued to block all peaceful avenues of protest against the injustices suffered by Ugandans over the last 2 decades. While most Ugandans were seeking to peacefully express their frustration about the lack of democracy, entrenched corruption, widespread poverty and the brutal actions of the NRM regime, there was a growing feeling among some Ugandans that Mr Museveni cannot be removed peacefully, and only an armed rebellion could topple his 24-year old dictatorial rule.

The pro-democracy campaigners remained optimistic that if intense national and international pressure were to be applied on the Museveni regime, it was still possible to peacefully transform Uganda into a fully fledged democratic nation. This is the reason why Ugandans were appealing to the British government to act now, in support of the evolving peaceful struggle against the regime in Kampala. It was imperative that the root causes of Uganda’s problems, including the all-encompassing lack of democracy and bad governance, be addressed as a matter of urgency, in order to rescue the Ugandan nation from the abyss.

UK Foreign & Commonwealth Office reaction to the general concerns raised by Ugandan pro-democracy activists:

The FCO officials said that they were appreciative of the regular exchanges they were having with the Ugandan pro-democracy campaigners, and were hopeful that a lot of good would come out of the mutual exchanges. They welcomed the efforts of Diaspora Ugandans to broaden their contacts and work with the opposition parties and civil society organisations within Uganda.

The British government was aware of many of the concerns raised by the visiting Ugandan activists, and that is why the UK continues to support the Ugandan people in their efforts to democratise the country. The United Kingdom is committed to enabling the observance of transparency and plural government, where power changes hands peacefully through multi-party elections. To this end, the British Government will continue to fund the ‘Deepening Democracy Programme’, as well as other programmes that are vital to the development of a democratic Uganda. In particular, the UK will urge the Ugandan Government to reflect upon the recommendations for improving the democratic process that will be noted in the forthcoming Observation reports on the elections, which will be published soon by the EU and other International Organisations.

The UK supports non confrontational campaigns for change. Earlier this week the British High Commission in Kampala, in response to the arrests of Dr Besigye and Mr Mao, urged the Uganda Police Force to respond proportionally to public order situations. Furthermore, they have made public statements in support of the right of citizens to protest peacefully, noting that ‘the peaceful exercise of the freedom of speech and freedom of assembly are two fundamental pillars of any democratic society’.

The FCO officials observed that while democratic freedoms are taken for granted in the UK, this was not the case in Uganda.

FCO comments about the specific matter of the defective February 2011 elections in Uganda.

The European Union had a team of observers, deployed in many parts of Uganda, which included a number of British representatives. The EU findings made it clear that the election results raised several issues of great concern that were avoidable, and must be addressed by the Ugandan authorities.

The two FCO officials, who met with the Ugandan pro-democracy activists in London, were themselves part of the EU observer team, and they were posted to Mbarara, Ibanda, Rushere, and Padibe in Kitgum.

Even though they did not witness violent incidents in their own area of observation, they, like the rest of the EU observers, became aware of incidents of violence and electoral malpractices that went on in some parts of Uganda.

Some of the malpractices were due to incompetence and lack of training on behalf of the Electoral Commission staff. But there were other misdemeanours that were of a more systemic nature. In the opinion of the FCO officials, it is possible that electoral rigging seems to have occurred long before the elections, through the bribery of voters, and the lack of a level playing field, which effectively disadvantaged the political opposition. There will be more detailed observations on possible malpractices in the forthcoming report from the EU Observation Mission.

According to the FCO officials, one of the notable problems was the entrenched bond between the state and NRM political party. Representatives of the state and the party cadres were functionally intertwined, and state resources were being utilised to the benefit of the ruling party.

It had also been observed, by an EU study, that there was also the widespread bias in media coverage, with the state-owned media tending to support the ruling NRM party. The fact that most of the FM radio stations are owned by supporters of the NRM party made matters more difficult for the opposition.

Finally, the FCO officials were in agreement with the point raised by the Ugandan pro-democracy activists that it was possible that some Ugandan voters could have been intimidated by the widespread deployment of security forces in many parts of the country.

But the British government functionaries also advised that the opposition parties, too, had a responsibility to improve their organisation and their campaigning if Uganda is to make progress towards being a fully fledged, competitive multi-party system. This is something the Ugandan opposition needs to reflect on.

FCO remarks on the need for transparency in economic activities (especially in regard to the future of oil production industry) in Uganda.

It is the view of the UK government that transparency in the management and exploitation of oil is important for the future of Uganda. If revenues are used correctly, it will bring a big economic boom and accelerate economic development, and the Department for International Development is undertaking work that should help to create a strong and transparent system for the management of oil revenues.

In regard to UK financial aid to Uganda, the Foreign and Commonwealth Office, and the Department for International Development are committed to closely monitoring how UK aid to Uganda is being utilised.

The United Kingdom believes that the establishment of proper governance systems in Uganda, the creation of a truly democratic dispensation, and the development of solid guarantees for the peaceful transfer of political power are vital ingredients in the attainment of peace, political stability, and sustainable development in Uganda.

Concrete Outcomes from the FCO Meeting:

·      UK government will present its concerns about some of the issues raised by the Ugandan pro-democracy activists to the NRM regime in Kampala, as part of its ongoing dialogue. Some of the issues will be communicated through the British High Commission in Uganda, while others would be handled via different channels

·    The UK supports the constitutional right of Ugandan citizens to protest peacefully. 

·    The United Kingdom to ask the NRM regime in Uganda not to use violence or any other intimidatory tactics against peaceful demonstrators.

·    The UK government to enquire into the concerns raised by Ugandan pro-democracy campaigners about the possible diversion of public funds, by the NRM regime, to fund NRM party election campaigns.

·    Of great concern would be any diversion of development aid money given to Uganda by the UK government.

·    FCO is open to future meetings of this nature. A follow up meeting to be organised in the next few months to review progress.

In the mean time, Ugandan pro-democracy campaigners will provide to the FCO details of incidences of state violence against peaceful protesters and innocent pro-democracy campaigners, as well as a list of people arrested, injured or killed.

Also, if a big Diaspora event is organised in London, a request could be made to have the UK Minister for Africa as a guest speaker.


Africa Inform International commentary on the Libyan crisis and its implications for the AU and the African continent.

An Africa Inform International / BBC World TV report (Thus. 31 March 2011)

Follow his link - the commentary is in the last section of the 30 mins programme.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/b0103z7p/GMT_with_George_Alagiah_31_03_2011/


Ugandans petition UK Premier over oil

By John Njoroge

A Daily montor, Uganda, report (Fri. 1 April 2011)

http://www.monitor.co.ug/News/National/-/688334/1136818/-/c3b8flz/-/index.html

Posted  Friday, April 1 2011 at 00:00

The Ugandan activists while delivering the letter to Mr Cameron’s office on 10 Downing street.

The Ugandan activists (L-R: Dr. Vincent Magombe, Opiyo Oryema, William Nkata, and Belinda Atim), while delivering the letter to Mr Cameron’s office on 10 Downing street. COURTESY PHOTO  

Ugandan Civil Society activists in Britain have asked UK Prime Minister David Cameron to force all oil, gas and mining companies listed in the UK to be more transparent in their operations abroad, especially in Uganda.

The US in July 2010 passed a law as part of the Dodd-Frank Act that compels all extractive companies listed on American stock markets to publish all the payments they make to governments in every country they operate in, on a project-by-project basis.
All the major companies currently operating in Uganda are listed on the London Stock Exchange, thus cannot be covered by the US law.

This call comes just three days after British Oil firm, Tullow Oil, satisfied a key requirement of government when it agreed to sell stakes in its interests to Chinese company CNOOC and French firm Total.

Tullow stands to gain over $2.9 billion in this deal alone. Under the umbrella group, Publish What You Pay Coalition, a letter signed by over 200 activists was delivered to Mr Cameron’s 10 Downing Street office this week.

ONE, a campaign and advocacy organisation backed by more than two million members worldwide, is also campaigning as part of the Publish What You Pay Coalition for a similar law in Europe.

The activists are calling on the UK Government to ‘end the resource curse’ by supporting greater transparency in the oil industry in Uganda. They want the UK to force all British oil, gas and mining companies to publish information on payments made by oil companies to the Ugandan government.

“By introducing a law that forces companies like Tullow Oil to publish all their payments to governments, David Cameron can make sure activists like me can get the information we desperately need to hold our leaders to account,” Ms Belinda Atim, one of the activists who delivered the letter to Mr Cameron’s office, said.

Ms Atim also added that the group was determined to make sure that the revenues the Uganda government will generate from oil will be used to help Ugandans and not to line the pockets of the wealthy elite.

“Access to this information would empower citizens to hold their leaders to account for the money received for natural resources,” the group insists, adding that the information would help reduce the corruption and instability that has for too long been associated with the industry.

Joe Powell, UK policy manager at ONE, said: “This letter will make a big difference to the campaign for greater transparency by UK-listed oil, gas and mining companies.”

“These activists have sent a message to David Cameron that his government should show leadership in reforming UK laws and pushing other European countries to do the same. He has the power to help countries like Uganda benefit from their oil and thus build a more prosperous, fair and peaceful global society.”


Uganda - MPs want details from government on sale of oil wells

By Mercy Nalugo

A Daily montor, uganda, report (Sat. 2 April 2011)

http://www.monitor.co.ug/News/National/-/688334/1137034/-/c3apcfz/-/index.html

Posted  Saturday, April 2 2011 at 00:00

Legislators yesterday tasked the government to explain the status of Uganda’s oil and gas wells and reports that Tullow Oil had sold part of the wells to two foreign companies.
The MP for Lwemiyaga County, Mr Theodore Ssekikubo, raised the concern as a matter of national importance and questioned why Tullow Oil had sold the oil wells to China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) and Total, a French oil firm, without Parliament’s knowledge.

Not informed
“The wells have been sold by Tullow Oil to a Chinese and French company at $2.9 billion yet we are not in the know. Since we have cabinet ministers represented here, when shall we be availed with copies of the sale agreement?,” Mr Ssekikubo asked.
Mr Henry Banyenzaki, the chairperson of the Parliamentary Forum on Oil and Gas, informed the House that all oil related problems should have been solved if the government had put in place the Oil Revenue Management Bill.

“”How far have you gone in as far as tabling the Bill is concerned,” Mr Banyenzaki asked.
The Parliament Chief Whip, Mr Daudi Migereko, however, saved the situation when he informed the House that the government would give a statement clarifying on the matter.
“I have been directed by the Prime Minister that I contact the Ministry of Energy to come up with a statement on the transaction,” he said.

He said the Energy Minister, Mr Hillary Onek, would on Tuesday give a statement on the status of the oil wells. Tullow Oil is set to challenge the Shs1.1 trillion tax that the government wants from the sale of its interests in Uganda to the CNOOC and Total.

The company on Tuesday, agreed to sell about 67 per cent of its interests in three oil blocks in Uganda for $2.9 billion (Shs6.9 trillion), to the two firms. The government is eyeing $472.7 million (Shs1.1 trillion) as capital gains tax due from the transaction.
Total and CNOOC are coming on board to create a joint venture which will establish a $10 billion refinery by 2015.

Tullow becomes the second oil exploration company to dispute the 30 per cent capital gains tax that is imposed on oil deals by Uganda. In April last year, Heritage Oil and Gas disputed a tax bill of $404 million that government slapped on its $1.45 billion deal after it sold its stake in Blocks 1 and 3A to Tullow oil.

Related Stories


 A Uganda Correspondent 

News Analysis (Mon. 03 Jan. 2011)

 Uganda & Rwanda have signs of imminent rebellion

By Dr. Vincent Magombe

 3rd January 2011

Museveni, Kagame: Facing rebellion?

 

For some time now, the international community has described Uganda and Rwanda as Africa’s Superstars. Their leaders, General Yoweri Museveni and General Paul Kagame, have been variously praised as the new ‘kids on the block’ and a ‘new generation African leaders’.

It is now becoming clear that these praises were nothing but misrepresentations of reality by a self-seeking international community; a community whose main interest was to nature and impose two pro-western warrior-rulers capable of protecting the West’s economic and geo-political strategic interests.

Critical Ugandan and Rwandan journalists, academics, and opposition politicians have argued that in spite of the so-called “liberation” wars in both Uganda [1981-86] and Rwanda [1990-94], the political landscape in both these countries has been bedevilled by iron-fisted dictatorial rule, lack of democracy, and the rise of a minority war-mongering ruling class.

This group has badly failed to pacify and bring political stability to a region torn apart by war and civil strife. What the international community was seeing and praising were fake and unreal castles of change that are built on wet sand.

We are hearing loud and clear voices of decent in both Uganda and Rwanda.  These voices are becoming more and more defined by utter desperation and extreme anger at the status quo.  We are witnessing the emergence of a thoroughly radicalised citizenry who are prepared to stand up against injustice and brute repression.  And as history has shown, these are also people who are prepared to shed their blood for the causes they believe to be noble and righteous.

Signs of an impending revolt in Uganda

In Uganda, the September 2009 Buganda uprising which saw many demonstrating civilians shot dead by the security forces showed that thousands of simple Baganda people were ready to die in the name of securing their Kingdom from the threats of a hostile NRM government.

Even though these riots were eventually suppressed, they paralysed the capital city Kampala for days.  But Buganda riots also proved something very important.  It created doubt in our minds about the capacity of the regime to manage large-scale public uprisings; especially if they are organised across the country.

In Uganda today, there are real indications that senior military and police officers are being purged by the regime because it fears that these officers might be aligning themselves to the political opposition.  A recent call by an exiled former army commander to current serving officers to switch allegiances could be a signal of impending revolt in some sections of Ugandan army.

Uganda’s main opposition leaders have also publically warned of the coming political hurricane.  Col. [Rtd] Dr. Kizza Besigye and General [Rtd] Mugisha Muntu, both Museveni’s former military allies and now leaders of the Forum for Democratic Change, have threatened to force President Museveni out of power if the February elections are rigged.

Meanwhile, Dr. Olara Otunnu, a former UN Under-Secretary General who is now President of the Uganda People’s Congress and a presidential candidate in the February 2011 elections has also warned that the 2011 elections are Uganda’s last chance for peaceful change.

Signs of an impending revolt in Rwanda

Rwanda is also tittering on the brink.  And the one man to blame for that impending crisis is General Paul Kagame.  His opponents accuse him of orchestrating extreme brutality and political repression; acts which have left the people of Rwanda with no choice but to mobilise a new freedom struggle.

We are, accordingly, witnessing widespread volatility and disgruntlement among the military and security services. High profile army officers like Lt. Gen. Kayumba Nyamwasa, a former army chief ofstaff, and Colonel Patrick Karegeya, former chief of Rwandan Intelligence, have fled into exile and are now organizing the growing anti-Kagame opposition.

Amidst widespread arrests and repressive clampdowns, the political opposition in Rwanda has grown into a solid anti-Kagame movement.  It has embraced both Hutu and Tutsi opponents of the regime. The radicalisation of the political opposition has been exacerbated by President Kagame’s own dictatorial tendencies.

The last Rwandan elections in August 2010 were utterly shambolic and disgraceful. Opposition parties were denied the opportunity to campaign freely and simple Rwandese citizens were cowed into silence by threats and intimidation.

Before and after the elections, Kagame’s regime unleashed severe violence and repression against the political opposition. Mr. Andre’ Kagwa Rwisereka, the Vice President of the Democratic Green Party, was beheaded. Jean-Leonard Rugambage, a journalist who wrote about the attempted assassination of exiled General Kayumba Nyamwasa, was himself murdered in cold blood.

Several opposition leaders have disappeared, believed to be languishing in state jails.  Ms Victoire Ingabire Umuhoza, the head of the FDU-Inkingi Party, remains a prisoner of conscience in her own country.

What is the way forward?

There is an urgent need to save Uganda and Rwanda from impending catastrophe. Both Africa and the international community must act before it is too late. Violence and civil strife are not a new phenomenon in the Eastern and Central African regions.

But, failure to halt the rapid deterioration of the already dire political situations in Rwanda and Uganda could lead to a regional implosion that will surpass all past tragedies.  Please log into www.ugandacorrespondent.com every Monday to read our top stories and anytime mid-week for our news updates.

magombevincent@yahoo.co.uk

 

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